6 ms·

I think the way this will play out as there will be another contest of Great Powers is that the United States will in turn decide soon to compete and pour billi

I think the way this will play out as there will be another contest of Great Powers is that the United States will in turn decide soon to compete and pour billions more into technology. This will continue to be a great time to work in Silicon Valley.

RobLach 8y ago
I wish I shared your optimism. I'm observing current government policy not being particularly forward thinking, e.g. massively subsidizing the coal industry.
- justinzollars 8y ago
  Think in the long term. China calls its contest with the United States "a marathon race" [1]. Soon Trump will be out of office and this problem will still be with us. This will be the greatest contest American has ever faced. [1] The China Dream: Great Power Thinking and Strategic Posture in the Post-American Era
  - throwaway84742 8y ago
    >> Soon Trump will be out of office If he reunites Korea and keeps the US economy going (and I do believe both of those things will happen), “soon” will be late 2024. For semiconductors that’s eternity. Intel and TMSC will be cranking out 5nm with high yields by then.
  - jk2323 8y ago
    I don't buy it. Be patience. I am not worried about the strength of China at all. It comes with too many weaknesses. What worries me is the weakness of Europe, but not the strength of China.
- hueving 8y ago
  The president != the government. Doubly so if there is a change in majority in the upcoming election.
  - jjoonathan 8y ago
    Inflation-adjusted science spending didn't increase last time the Democrats were in power, why do you think it would this time? We need another sputnik moment before the public will spend money on innovation.
    - hueving 8y ago
      "science spending" doesn't include business incentives in scientific fields nor research underneath the military. A boost to the semiconductor industry directly would also not be considered science spending.
    - justinzollars 8y ago
      > why do you think it would this time? This isn't a Democrat or Republican issue. I understand debate is constrained along party lines but the issue I'm arguing is that in the context of a contest of nations the neither party of the United States will allow the United States to lose its technological advantage. I think our sputnik moment will come in 10-15 years when the United States is the worlds #2 GDP.
diego_moita 8y ago
> the United States will in turn decide soon "Soon"? You're putting too much faith in the Almighty Cheetos' thinking skills.
Lionsion 8y ago
> I think the way this will play out as there will be another contest of Great Powers is that the United States will in turn decide soon to compete and pour billions more into technology. This will continue to be a great time to work in Silicon Valley. My guess is that any such money will flow elsewhere. The government likes to spread its money around, and Silicon Valley is an expensive place and too hot on selling ads.

RobLach 8y ago

I wish I shared your optimism. I'm observing current government policy not being particularly forward thinking, e.g. massively subsidizing the coal industry.

justinzollars 8y ago
Think in the long term. China calls its contest with the United States "a marathon race" [1]. Soon Trump will be out of office and this problem will still be with us. This will be the greatest contest American has ever faced. [1] The China Dream: Great Power Thinking and Strategic Posture in the Post-American Era
- throwaway84742 8y ago
  >> Soon Trump will be out of office If he reunites Korea and keeps the US economy going (and I do believe both of those things will happen), “soon” will be late 2024. For semiconductors that’s eternity. Intel and TMSC will be cranking out 5nm with high yields by then.
- jk2323 8y ago
  I don't buy it. Be patience. I am not worried about the strength of China at all. It comes with too many weaknesses. What worries me is the weakness of Europe, but not the strength of China.
hueving 8y ago
The president != the government. Doubly so if there is a change in majority in the upcoming election.
- jjoonathan 8y ago
  Inflation-adjusted science spending didn't increase last time the Democrats were in power, why do you think it would this time? We need another sputnik moment before the public will spend money on innovation.
  - hueving 8y ago
    "science spending" doesn't include business incentives in scientific fields nor research underneath the military. A boost to the semiconductor industry directly would also not be considered science spending.
  - justinzollars 8y ago
    > why do you think it would this time? This isn't a Democrat or Republican issue. I understand debate is constrained along party lines but the issue I'm arguing is that in the context of a contest of nations the neither party of the United States will allow the United States to lose its technological advantage. I think our sputnik moment will come in 10-15 years when the United States is the worlds #2 GDP.

diego_moita 8y ago

> the United States will in turn decide soon "Soon"? You're putting too much faith in the Almighty Cheetos' thinking skills.

Lionsion 8y ago

> I think the way this will play out as there will be another contest of Great Powers is that the United States will in turn decide soon to compete and pour billions more into technology. This will continue to be a great time to work in Silicon Valley. My guess is that any such money will flow elsewhere. The government likes to spread its money around, and Silicon Valley is an expensive place and too hot on selling ads.