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That's the point: I'm pretty sure that somebody will create automated driving technology that's better than humans within the next decade or so. But it won't ne
by binarybits 8y ago
That's the point: I'm pretty sure that somebody will create automated driving technology that's better than humans within the next decade or so. But it won't necessarily be Tesla. If I had to guess I'd say Waymo is likely to get there first. And as I say in the piece, there's good reason to think that Tesla's incremental approach—start with ADAS, evolve into full self-driving—may be an evolutionary dead end because humans are really bad at supervising a driving technology that works 99.99 percent of the time but gets in a fatal crash the other 0.01 percent.
- Judgmentality 8y ago> And as I say in the piece Are you the author of the article?
- eganist 8y agoTwitter handle is the same as his hackernews handle, so I'd assume it's likely.
- binarybits 8y agoYes.
- robbrown451 8y ago"humans are really bad at supervising a driving technology that works 99.99 percent of the time but gets in a fatal crash the other 0.01 percent" I've tried to express the same concept but you said it in far fewer words. Nice. Good article.
- curun1r 8y agoWhat about Tesla's choice to design its technology around cameras rather than lidar? They seem to be the only ones going that route. I've seen quotes from a number of people who build this kind of technology who say that's a fundamentally less-safe way to build self-driving vehicles. Did you consider addressing that point in the article?