3 ms·
Only the first estimate given there is reasonably sourced. And it's almost 40 years old. Bike safety has improved dramatically since then, so I doubt it's as ba
by btrettel 9y ago
Only the first estimate given there is reasonably sourced. And it's almost 40 years old. Bike safety has improved dramatically since then, so I doubt it's as bad as you suggest. [1] suggests that the number of trips made by bike increased from 1.7 billion in 2001 to 4 billion in 2009, but [2] suggests that the number of cyclist deaths was roughly constant over that range. So per-capita, cycling safety has likely improved dramatically. I couldn't find any data on the number of cyclists or number of trips by bike going back to 1979 in the 5 minutes I spent on it, but I suspect the trend is similar going back that far.
For comparison, the car number quoted on Wikipedia appears to be from 2009.
Also, you have a lot of control over your own safety on a bike. I think there are many cyclists who are an order of magnitude safer than your average cyclist.
To be clear, I don't doubt that cycling is risker than driving. I just don't find the typically quoted numbers to be accurate.
[1] http://bikeleague.org/commutingdata http://bikeleague.org/commutingdata
[2] http://www.cyclehelmets.org/1258.html http://www.cyclehelmets.org/1258.html
- djrogers 9y ago> I think there are many cyclists who are an order of magnitude safer than your average cyclist. Statiscally, that’s not likely - maybe even not possible. There will be some who are that much safer, but not many - otherwise the average would just be pulled up.