Do you create a statistical test and confidence interval for all of the things you believe to be true? I doubt it. Do you have expertise in all areas? I don’

Do you create a statistical test and confidence interval for all of the things you believe to be true? I doubt it. Do you have expertise in all areas? I don’t. I rely on experts. Experts tell me that there is climate change. They tell me that there has been a massive increase in energy in weather system due to human activity. They tell me that the number of anomalies is increasing. Now I encounter a story about a very strange weather occurrence and your question to me is what statistical test I’ve run? I don’t know you and I can only guess as to the purpose of your question. I’m very skeptical that you can answer your own question when it comes to making conclusions about things outside your expertise. So it seems your purpose is lacking in genuineness. If it is news to you that people make conclusions based on the evidence they know about and weigh the possibilities and rough probabilities without conducting a formal statistical analysis then I highly recommend that you do some soul searching.