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Neither major US political party seems to do better than 50/50 overall According to Larry Bartel's research, in some major areas of economic policy, this is no
by MichaelSalib 16y ago
Neither major US political party seems to do better than 50/50 overall
According to Larry Bartel's research, in some major areas of economic policy, this is not true. See http://rodrik.typepad.com/dani_rodriks_weblog/2008/03/american-politi.html http://rodrik.typepad.com/dani_rodriks_weblog/2008/03/americ... and
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2005_05/006282.php http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2005_05... for more details.
Of course, insofar as you're talking about public perceptions of news media "debates", that only confirms your point.
- yummyfajitas 16y agoWhile the graph is nice, error bounds would be extremely useful. Comparing two groups based on a sample size of 5 (per group) is an extremely tricky thing to do. It's even trickier when you try to rule out systematic errors by reducing your sample size further. For instance, the blog mentions one systematic error caused by D->R transitions. He then claims this is ruled out by analyzing two R->R and one D->D transition, ignoring the fact that 2 of those three transitions were based on fluke circumstances themselves (specifically Kennedy->Johnson and Nixon->Ford).