Bruce Schneier has pointed out the implications of the base rate fallacy for various security systems for a long time now: https://www.schneier.com/blog/archiv

Bruce Schneier has pointed out the implications of the base rate fallacy for various security systems for a long time now: https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2006/03/data_mining_for.html https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2006/03/data_mining_f... https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2006/07/terrorists_data.html https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2006/07/terrorists_da... https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2012/05/criminal_intent.html https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2012/05/criminal_inte...