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You are correct in a Bayesian sense, but until everyone is trained to be a Bayesian reasoner in primary school, we need to build the system in a way that ensure
by cecilpl2 9y ago
You are correct in a Bayesian sense, but until everyone is trained to be a Bayesian reasoner in primary school, we need to build the system in a way that ensures evidence is considered properly.
- adrianmonk 9y agoSo what's the solution? Throw out all evidence that isn't incontrovertible?
- KirinDave 9y agoThere is much ink spilled about how people aren't bayesian educated, but I don't really believe it and therefore don't agree with you. We're actually pretty good at identifying uncertainty and certainty within the physical world. It's only when we get into very large or very small numbers that we start to lose the plot.