One should note that this would have happened >10 years ago if we hadn't gotten the lucky stroke of the century. After 40 years of zero active antibiotic discov

One should note that this would have happened >10 years ago if we hadn't gotten the lucky stroke of the century. After 40 years of zero active antibiotic discoveries we found a few new types. Currently, they work. The previous types lasted 60 years. The new set lasted ~6 years, or 10 years if you count until we found diseases resistant to both the new and all old types. They're resistant, so the antibiotics still help, but they only slow it down, they don't actually cure anymore. We probably have months until they're fully immune all types. The issue is that bacteria regularly exchange genes outside of their particular species, so given historical data we have ~2 years time before there are outbreaks of every known disease which fully ignore all types of antibiotics. This means that (assuming it is verified, and if it isn't, some other outbreak will be verified soon) at this point it is utterly too late for any attempt at restricting antibiotics (which governments are only doing to save money anyway, which is why it is only restricted for human patients and not or very little for agriculture. Besides, it doesn't matter unless every government does it). Worse: at this point restricting antibiotics is counterproductive: we should immediately switch to a different regimen, to maximize the remaining utility. When a patient gets infected with an unknown disease, and there's even slight reasons to suspect resistant strains, they should immediately get a cocktail. A high dose of the 5 known general antibiotics. Especially children. We all know it won't be done. Firstly, governments move slowly, and never admit mistakes or failure (although you have to appreciate just how slow: outpaced by evolution. I mean ... seriously ?). Admitting failure will be the bigger problem no doubt. Secondly, it is slightly expensive. It will save many lives, maximize the remaining utility and prevent outbreaks, but it will be somewhat more expensive. Result will, inevitably, be that in 2 years, half a dozen (common) diseases will require extremely expensive "long-tail" medicines. In a decade, every disease will require it. We need to get started on developing hundreds, and then thousands of individual medications, requiring much more money for medical research than is currently being spent. And we all know we won't do that. First victim will be sex. Why ? Because when a disease gets called "sexually transmitted" that mostly means only sexually transmitted (the only more restrictive form is blood-transmitted. Only gets transmitted from mother to child or through blood transfusions). Sex will transmit pretty much every disease known with only a few exceptions. When we have 5 common incurable diseases, sex with many partners becomes Russian roulette. When we have 50 ...