No, but it's the same argument for something like SpaceX. A quick analysis says being optimistic makes the most sense because it has the best outcomes in all si

No, but it's the same argument for something like SpaceX. A quick analysis says being optimistic makes the most sense because it has the best outcomes in all situations. If we're optimistic and correct, we're building the things that will be useful in the future. We know we have to get off the planet to survive as a species, so we have to hope that we can do so. If we're optimistic and wrong, we're distracting ourselves until we die. Pessimistic and correct, we wait for death and die. Pessimistic and incorrect, we watch the future run away from us while we argue over what remains on the planet to be used by the technology we stagnated in. I don't want to know what 2050 looks like if we're still dependent on oil. The worst case only exists if we're pessimistic as a species. The best case only exists if we're optimistic.