4 ms·

The real problem is that, yes, human drivers ARE better than computers — for some unknown subset of driving. It’s that small subset of lethal mistakes you avoid

• AnimalMuppet 9y ago
  > It’s that small subset of lethal mistakes you avoid by not letting your computer drive that makes all the difference. The small subset of lethal mistakes you avoid by not letting yourself drive matter too... Here's what I think is really going on. There's a transition from "not good enough to trust with a human life" to "approximately as likely as a human to make a fatal mistake, even if in different ways" to "clearly less likely to cause a fatal accident than even a good human driver". But there's also a huge pot of money for whoever wins this market. So at least some players are pretending that they're further along the transition to "better than human", hoping that the market believes them. A second point: when we're in the state of "approximately as likely as a human to make a fatal mistake, even if in different ways", the humans look at the ways that the computer makes, and think: "That's a really stupid mistake to make. How could it be so dumb?" But just because the mistakes aren't ones that a human would make very often, that doesn't mean that the computer isn't on par with humans in terms of overall death rate. But the computer still looks bad on the mistakes it makes.