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> but autopilot still lowers the death rate on average. I think the question of using self driving vehicles comes down to this. Do you want to be part of a sta
by buvanshak 9y ago
> but autopilot still lowers the death rate on average.
I think the question of using self driving vehicles comes down to this. Do you want to be part of a statistics that you can control, or do you want to be part of one that you cannot?
When we go in trains or planes, we are already being part of statistics that we cannot control. But those things also are extremely reliable.
So there seems to be a threshold, where someone should opt for being part of a statistics that you cannot control.
The people who are pushing SDV's, by some sleight of hand, seem to hide this aspect, and have successfully showcased raw, (projected) statistics that implicitly assumes the rate of progress with SDV's, also assume that SDV ll continue to progress until they reach that capability.....
>And also the idea that an automatic driver is easier to improve over time (skewing the trade-off better and better) than human drivers.
But there is always are risk of catastrophic regressions [1] with each update, right?
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catastrophic_interference https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catastrophic_interference
- edelans 9y ago> be part of a statistics that you can control well, even if you are in control with your hands on the wheel, you can still get heart (and even die) in a car accident where you have no responsibility at all. Sure you can control your car, but you cannot control others'... (this is even more obvious from a cyclist point of view)
- XorNot 9y agoAlso people vastly overestimate their driving competence.
- buvanshak 9y agoThat is certainly not the norm. People does not "vastly" overestimate their driving competence..
- quotemstr 9y agoDiscussions of driving among lay people are generally useless and interminable, due largely to the supercharged Dunning-Kruger effect that driving for whatever reason produces. No matter where you are or who's talking, the speaker is always a good, careful driver, other drivers are reckless morons, and the city in which they all live has the worst drivers in the country. Everyone everywhere says the same thing. It's information-free discourse.
- buvanshak 9y agoI am Sorry. Not having control of a lot of stuff that happen in the world does not mean that you don't have some influence on if you will be in an accident or not, if you are driving the car yourself? With half baked self driving tech, you have absolutely no control..