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The efficient-market hypothesis basically asserts that if a price weren't a function of rigorous analysis, then there would be a sizable incentive to find and c
by alehul 9y ago
The efficient-market hypothesis basically asserts that if a price weren't a function of rigorous analysis, then there would be a sizable incentive to find and correctly analyze this stock, and trade appropriately to take advantage of the inefficiency until it no longer exists.
There could possibly be a more optimistic pricing in the markets if we factored in, just as a random example, that people are more timid to short rather than buy, as a short can easily result in a loss higher than the entire value of the position. An interesting read if you'd like to go down the rabbit-hole of that ideology would be anything on the concept of 'Adaptive Markets' by Andrew Lo. Rather than the common physics/maths-based approach to market behavior, it focuses on a more biological one, and thus includes these 'emotional inefficiencies' that may be present in market pricing.