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> In the US, there is one automotive fatality every 86 million miles across all vehicles from all manufacturers. For Tesla, there is one fatality, including kno
by bambax 9y ago
> In the US, there is one automotive fatality every 86 million miles across all vehicles from all manufacturers. For Tesla, there is one fatality, including known pedestrian fatalities, every 320 million miles in vehicles equipped with Autopilot hardware. If you are driving a Tesla equipped with Autopilot hardware, you are 3.7 times less likely to be involved in a fatal accident.
This is incomplete and therefore, very misleading. One has to compare what's comparable: what is the sample size for each? That is, how many miles are driven by Tesla vehicles per year, versus how many miles total for all US vehicles on US roads?
It seems, Tesla puts up around 3.2 billion miles/year, vs 3.2 trillion miles for all US vehicles; while the numbers are both big, that's a 1000x times difference, or 3 orders of magnitude.
Tesla numbers seem to imply there are around 10 people killed per year using a Tesla or being hit by a Tesla (because 3.2 billion / 320 million = 10). So, if a Tesla with 5 people on board crashes into a wall this year, and kills everyone inside, that will represent a 50% increase in the fatality rate.
And the phrase "3.7 times less likely" is also very misleading. People who drive Teslas usually wouldn't be driving dangerous vehicles (such as small, 4-door cars which are the deadliest), if they didn't have a Tesla. They would probably drive a German car (BMW, Audi, Mercedes) which are the safest cars in the US today.
> There are about 1.25 million automotive deaths worldwide. If the current safety level of a Tesla vehicle were to be applied, it would mean about 900,000 lives saved per year.
This is another level of nonsense entirely. "Worldwide"? A lot of things happen worldwide; in some countries there are more scooters than cars; in others, there are many very unsafe and poorly maintained country/dirt roads. The Tesla numbers are shady enough when limited to the US, but expanding them for a worldwide comparison is ludicrous.