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Outside of the Tesla marketing department, conditional probability has been known for 300 years. Comparing the average fatality rate to the fatality rate of a m
by oldgradstudent 9y ago
Outside of the Tesla marketing department, conditional probability has been known for 300 years. Comparing the average fatality rate to the fatality rate of a modern car with Autopilot is an egregious abuse of statistics. How can anyone defend this practice ?!
Just as an example, click on California (it is mostly consistent all over) on the map [1]. California has a lower average fatality rate of 1.01 per 100 million miles.
Rural roads have 2.62 fatalities per 100 million miles.
Urban roads have 0.70 fatalities per 100 million miles.
The fatality rate is much lower on highways, according to Wikipedia [2], freeways have 3.38 fatalities per billion km (0.54 per 100 million mile, if I managed the conversion).
[1] https://cdan.nhtsa.gov/stsi.htm https://cdan.nhtsa.gov/stsi.htm
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transportation_safety_in_the_United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transportation_safety_in_the_U...