"I can happily imagine that every child in the USA gets to find out if they are any good at hitting a baseball (#). So we can be fairly sure that the population

"I can happily imagine that every child in the USA gets to find out if they are any good at hitting a baseball (#). So we can be fairly sure that the population of possible baseball picks is as wide as it can be - and is a proper bell curve." That's a very good point - thanks. I suppose the same point could be made, even more emphatically, for skiing. "most sports probably still have plenty of "moneyball" left on the table" Actually, I reject the Moneyball principle and its prescriptions, but that's another story ...