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Nobody believes me, but the real market test of MagicLeap, Hololens, and Oculus isn't coming until they release a device that's competing with smartphones. Zuc
by michaelbuckbee 9y ago
Nobody believes me, but the real market test of MagicLeap, Hololens, and Oculus isn't coming until they release a device that's competing with smartphones.
Zuck didn't spend 2Billion on VR to play games, it was a bet that they could move from VR->AR->Thing that replaces smartphones.
Google didn't put 500million into ML because they seriously think that next year people are going to be walking around looking like Shaq here:
https://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/s--bmAwzL8M--/c_scale,fl_progressive,q_80,w_800/zp14ofjmcmy5absub4wt.png https://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/s--bmAwzL8...
The first iPhone was released just 10 years ago and it's now the dominant form factor for computing on the planet, but like every other technology it will come to an end.
Something more capable, more integrated into our lives, etc. will replace smartphones (just as every other technical innovation since the history of time has been improved upon and then replaced).
The right frame of reference to look at AR systems today is as very early prototypes for what that smartphone replacement tech might look like.
- nkarpov 9y agoYou're right that there is always a race to build a new hardware platform. You're wrong that one literally replaces another.