4 ms·
You're entitled to your opinion. But I don't think you're even comparing apples to apples here. Facebook claims 2.2 billion monthly active users. Sure, that is
by yomly 9y ago
You're entitled to your opinion. But I don't think you're even comparing apples to apples here. Facebook claims 2.2 billion monthly active users. Sure, that is a flattering and inflated number, but at face value that is about 28% of the world's population.
That is "the world's most recognized word is Coke/Apple" levels of mindshare. That simply doesn't go away overnight. People no longer drink 24 bottles of Coke a day[0] but Coke is still everywhere and ubiquitous.
Hence my assertion that Facebook has critical mass: the history of MySpace isn't a useful analogy for trying to stipulate what might happen to Facebook. After a certain size/ubiquity they can sidestep user exodus, if only through sheer acquisition of the replacement.
Perhaps a concession is that Facebook the product may be gone in a decade. I'll be very surprised if Facebook, Inc. is gone.
[0] https://www.ft.com/content/bd4d1876-e464-11e4-9039-00144feab7de https://www.ft.com/content/bd4d1876-e464-11e4-9039-00144feab...