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Instagram seems like it would be the most resilient. It's so low level, with few gimmicks, you just share a piece of media. Humans will want to share with each

Instagram seems like it would be the most resilient. It's so low level, with few gimmicks, you just share a piece of media. Humans will want to share with each other until the end of time. Snap and fb have interesting features but it's less clear whether they will always remain popular. What are some shifts that can take Instagram down? The main one I can think of is decentralizion and owning/controlling your own data, but that would hit almost everything. Do you think the shift away from these sites will be structural/technological (again, like if the world generally moves towards a different business model than data collection), or do you think these sites will be hit for specific reasons?

dvt 9y ago
> Do you think the shift away from these sites will be structural/technological (again, like if the world generally moves towards a different business model than data collection), or do you think these sites will be hit for specific reasons? No. I think it will be completely cultural. In other word, exactly what happened with MySpace, AIM, etc. Young people will want something new, different, novel. The underlying technology and functionality will, in all likelihood, be exactly the same.
- sizzle 9y ago
  VR/AR chat anyone?
  - 734786710934 9y ago
    Facebook already has that base covered with Oculus.
  - TheOtherHobbes 9y ago
    That would be my guess. Second Life but without the clunk. But it will need a new platform. I can't see it happening on phones.
yakshaving_jgt 9y ago
I can tell you what's killing Instagram for me: - Too many ads - Too much spam (fake accounts) - Dark UX patterns (withholding notifications to encourage addiction) - Unpredictable sorting behaviour (if I have a post with better engagement than another post in the Top Posts for a given area, why doesn't my post beat theirs?) - Unpredictable behaviour generally. My posts get only 20% the engagement they did 18 months ago.

dvt 9y ago

> Do you think the shift away from these sites will be structural/technological (again, like if the world generally moves towards a different business model than data collection), or do you think these sites will be hit for specific reasons? No. I think it will be completely cultural. In other word, exactly what happened with MySpace, AIM, etc. Young people will want something new, different, novel. The underlying technology and functionality will, in all likelihood, be exactly the same.

sizzle 9y ago
VR/AR chat anyone?
- 734786710934 9y ago
  Facebook already has that base covered with Oculus.
- TheOtherHobbes 9y ago
  That would be my guess. Second Life but without the clunk. But it will need a new platform. I can't see it happening on phones.

yakshaving_jgt 9y ago

I can tell you what's killing Instagram for me: - Too many ads - Too much spam (fake accounts) - Dark UX patterns (withholding notifications to encourage addiction) - Unpredictable sorting behaviour (if I have a post with better engagement than another post in the Top Posts for a given area, why doesn't my post beat theirs?) - Unpredictable behaviour generally. My posts get only 20% the engagement they did 18 months ago.