> There's a proof somewhere that the maximal probability of the expected future lifetime of a given organization like a country or a company is its current life

> There's a proof somewhere that the maximal probability of the expected future lifetime of a given organization like a country or a company is its current lifespan, projected into the future Sounds more like the good, old https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument than any sort of an actual proof...