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> It's not like the Soviets where it was blatantly obvious that things are mismanaged. It's only blatantly obvious in hindsight. My vague memory of the history
by forapurpose 9y ago
> It's not like the Soviets where it was blatantly obvious that things are mismanaged.
It's only blatantly obvious in hindsight. My vague memory of the history of it: There were many in the West who supported the Soviets as the future of humanity (not nearly a majority, but a not just a couple of wackos either - especially at the beginning). In the 1970s / early 1980s there was a major debate in the U.S. over whether to compete with the Soviets or just accept their power. U.S. intelligence thought the Soviet economy was doing well right up until the end.
- maxxxxx 9y agoI was in East Germany, Czechoslovakia and East Berlin in the early 80s and you just had to look around to see that they were way behind the West. Long lines everywhere, empty stores, cars with two stroke engines, everything run down. You could see the decay.
- philwelch 9y agoA large part of the reason for that is because many Western academic fields were largely infested with ideological leftists. (And to a great extent they still are.) Few people expected the Communist political system to collapse the way it did, but the lowercase-communist economic system was pretty obviously on its last legs by then. And indeed, look at what's happened: Russia abandoned lowercase-communism along with uppercase-Communism but certain features of the Communist political system managed to reassert themselves, in the form of the former KGB man Putin seizing and consolidating power. By this point, Russia's sphere of influence had retracted from eastern Germany all the way back to struggling to maintain control over Ukraine, but a little bit of brute force managed to keep Ukraine in line, too. China, unlike Russia, managed to reform away from lowercase-communism while still maintaining the uppercase-Communist political structure. They are also just now attempting Great Power-style diplomacy over their neighbors, whereas Russia was overextended into that role ever since the end of WWII.
- forapurpose 9y ago> many Western academic fields were largely infested with ideological leftists. (And to a great extent they still are.) Sounds like we're edging into an old Cold War ideological fight, attributing things to characterizations rather than addressing the ideas. How does the parent post explain the CIA and Henry Kissinger's 'Detente'? EDIT: minor edit, more edit
- philwelch 9y agoI was referring more to the “many in the West who supported the Soviets as the future of humanity”, which was very much an ideological question. Detente was a short-lived policy of the Nixon years. By the early 1980’s, US foreign policy pivoted more strongly to a consistent anti-Soviet stance, consistent with the neoliberal revolution in economics that predicted the failure of central economic planning and invalidated countless Nixon-era policies both on the domestic and foreign levels. It may have been a surprise to the West just how much of a house of cards the Soviet bloc was, but it was probably also a surprise to Gorbechev that the Soviet system couldn’t survive his attempts at reform. The far more optimistic notions about the USSR had their heyday during WWII, when their rapid industrialization and valiant defense against Hitler won them considerable respect, and the “enemy of my enemy” situation shielded them from the now-obvious criticisms of Stalinism.