My favorite analogy to describe "luck x startups" is that it's like your first game of darts, except you only get 5 shots, and then you can never play again. Th

My favorite analogy to describe "luck x startups" is that it's like your first game of darts, except you only get 5 shots, and then you can never play again. Theoretically it's skill-based, and if you had the time/resources to practice you could perhaps nail the bullseye 85% of the time, but your first 5 throws are mostly luck, and that's all most people ever get when it comes to startups. Also, even though you theoretically are better when throwing #5 (4 shots of experience and learning), it's still random enough that you could score worse than throw #1