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you have to take into account miles driven. Yes, we have 37K fatalities, but trillions of miles driven. So, it comes out something like 1.2 fatalities per 100
by vasilipupkin 9y ago
you have to take into account miles driven. Yes, we have 37K fatalities, but trillions of miles driven. So, it comes out something like 1.2 fatalities per 100 million miles driven for human drivers. Which means, so far, self driving cars have a worse record per 100 million miles driven. So far.
- kerkeslager 9y agoI haven't been able to find any reliable source of miles driven by self-driving cars to make that claim, but if one exists it wouldn't surprise me. But that's not really my point. My point isn't that self-driving cars are safer, it's that merely looking at one car accident doesn't prove that self-driving cars are less safe.
- vasilipupkin 9y agoas of today, yes, the data indicates that self driving cars are less safe. The fact is, as of today, self driving cars are generating more fatalities per mile driven than human drivers. That may change in the future as technology matures.
- kerkeslager 9y agoI'd love to see the data you're talking about, but even if such data exists, that doesn't make extrapolating from this one accident any more valid.
- vasilipupkin 9y agohttps://medium.com/waymo/waymos-fleet-reaches-4-million-self-driven-miles-b28f32de495a https://medium.com/waymo/waymos-fleet-reaches-4-million-self... https://www.forbes.com/sites/bizcarson/2017/12/22/ubers-self-driving-cars-2-million-miles/#36723a72a4fe https://www.forbes.com/sites/bizcarson/2017/12/22/ubers-self... so, 6 million miles driven and one fatality is significantly worse record than human drivers. So far.