4 ms·
They won't, it's something AV proponents love to claim though. The claim is that cars will be able to drive closer at higher speeds or something. But, 2 tons o
by chomp 9y ago
They won't, it's something AV proponents love to claim though.
The claim is that cars will be able to drive closer at higher speeds or something. But, 2 tons of steel is still a deadly weapon no matter who's driving it. A car can still suffer a(n unpredictable) blowout or mechanics failure, malicious people can still screw with traffic, roads and infrastructure will still be poorly funded, and even wildlife (deer specifically) still exist.
Any of these things will cause huge problems to cars travelling too close together. That's even ignoring the fact that traffic going inbound to dense urban centers is limited by the infrastructure of the city and layout of those roads, parking garages, and businesses- not the speed at which people can travel closely on the road.
By the time we get level 5 autonomous vehicles, we'll have robots performing most minimum wage jobs (picking crops, making coffee and hamburgers, retail) and culture will probably have shifted to a remote-work-friendly mindset. The fact that there just won't be that many jobs for people to work will reduce traffic more than AVs will "because they can go faster".
- Balgair 9y agoNumberphile had a recent video on car crashes here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3D7XYQExt0 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3D7XYQExt0 In short: Since kinetic energy goes as (velocity)^2, doubling the speed will quadruple the stopping distance (MANY other factors are significant, this is a rough estimate). 3X of the speed is ~9X the stopping distance, etc. NHTSB guidelines for 'proper' following distance are nearly never seen in LA and NYC, it's typically much shorter. If anything, L5 AVs will probably have longer gaps between AVs than what is currently on the road. Likely, the major improvement of L5 AVs will be in safety, not congestion. It turns out (I think), you can't technology your way out of a political problem. We need higher density housing, not magic carpets (effectively).