>...One of talents greatest contributions is knowing how to let your winners run and cut your losses... >...talent would understand what events are more likely

>...One of talents greatest contributions is knowing how to let your winners run and cut your losses... >...talent would understand what events are more likely to succeed... If we already know that these things are the result of talent and not luck, and if it's a foregone conclusion that the model gives an "oversized role" to luck, then I guess these kinds of investigation are doomed from the start.