4 ms·
Is due. Just because something hasn't happened for some time doesn't by itself mean it's immminent. How are the distributions of earthquake events and magnitude
by your-nanny 9y ago
Is due. Just because something hasn't happened for some time doesn't by itself mean it's immminent. How are the distributions of earthquake events and magnitudes typically modeled?
- mikeash 9y agoEarthquakes tend to come from relieving built up stresses, so the “due” term is appropriate. They’re not purely random.
- Waterluvian 9y agoIt's one of those times gamblers fallacy isn't accurate. The longer since an earthquake, the more likely it becomes. Pretty fascinating.
- beberlei 9y agomaybe with survival distributions? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survival_function https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survival_function googling gives some results of scientific papers that would say this is the way its done.