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I define a bubble like this to myself: too much is invested into something compared to the revenue it will generate in the future. Now if we assume that 'develo
by nadam 16y ago
I define a bubble like this to myself: too much is invested into something compared to the revenue it will generate in the future. Now if we assume that 'developer time' is an investment from the developer, then we can discuss whether apps are a bubble or not. I don't know the answer, because I don't know the numbers. We should sum up all the revenues generated by apps and divide it by the sum of all develoment time invested into apps. If this number is very low then we may speak about some kind of bubble. If we assume that users will buy even less apps in the future, then we can speak about a bubble even more.
- ja27 16y agoFor me, I know it's a bubble when everyone from my neighbors, mom, coworkers, etc. start talking about investing in it or when there are "reality" shows and late night infomercials about it. That's when it's time to get out.
- tocomment 16y agoYeah, I'm waiting for my family to start talking about buying gold so I can short it :-)
- ja27 16y agoI worked with a guy that got into buying and selling Beanie Babies right as that "bubble" burst. At least he didn't take out a second mortgage just to buy them.
- chadgeidel 16y agoYou mean they are not? I thought gold is the perennial "hedge against economic downturn" and non-financial specialists treat it as such. I hear friends and family talk about gold whenever the economy is sour.