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> If 2016 was the year 4chan won the US presidency maybe 2018 will be the year HN wins an election? I suppose it's possible, but I seriously doubt it. I live
by LyndsySimon 9y ago
> If 2016 was the year 4chan won the US presidency maybe 2018 will be the year HN wins an election?
I suppose it's possible, but I seriously doubt it.
I live in Arkansas. I was born here, grew up here, and recently bought a house and moved back after living five years in Charlottesville, VA. While I'm not in Spencer's district I know several people who are.
From my perspective, this article is going to be a millstone around Spencer's candidacy. It will do substantially more damage to his campaign than the money will bring him benefit. There is a strong GOP majority there, and being able to point to this article and say "Look! My competitor's campaign is being financed by California liberals!" will all but guarantee that incumbent French Hill will be able to consolidate and energize his base.
The district flipped in 2010, after the retirement of seven-term incumbent Democrat Vic Snyder. It was successfully handed off to another GOP candidate in 2014 when the previous incumbent gave up his seat to run for governor.
Further, in light of Trump's recent rapidly changing stance on gun rights, I anticipate that will be polarizing issue of the 2018 midterms. Of the 435 current members of the House, Hill received the most money from the NRA[1] - just over $1m, split between ads supportive of Hill and opposing his opponent. According the Great Slate website[2] they raised $938k in Q4 of last year, which was divided amongst nine candidates. That's less than 10% of what the NRA alone provided to Hill last election cycle, while it sounds like it constitutes the majority of Spencer's war chest.
In short, while the approach taken by the Great Slate is valid and could have had a significant impact, this article probably eliminated what little chance Spencer had in this election.
1: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/lawmakers-nra-money/story?id=53230001 http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/lawmakers-nra-money/story?id=...
2: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/great_slate https://secure.actblue.com/donate/great_slate
- rhizome 9y agoStoneman High School and Roy Moore should be enough, not to mention Trump, do Arkansans like violence against children?
- nl 9y agoI think at some point any Democratic candidate is going to have to address the "they are supported by Californian liberals" issue. If they could get people to read the article they'd quickly note the bit about how he didn't get support from the DNC...
- RickJWagner 9y agoI have no idea why people down-vote this post. Yeesh. Some people.
- LyndsySimon 9y agoNow that this has fallen off the front page, I'll go ahead and mention - if people have downvoted that comment, an equal number have upvoted it. Its score is "1 point".
- nl 9y agoAnd I'm at -2, but I'm pretty sure that's just the 4chan alt-right people who get annoyed at being called out. Shurg You must be getting downvotes too, because I upvoted you.