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The article assumes the following as "truths": * There is a real anti-diesel sentiment, and diesel phasing out will happen * Electric vehicles are an upcoming
by John_KZ 9y ago
The article assumes the following as "truths":
* There is a real anti-diesel sentiment, and diesel phasing out will happen
* Electric vehicles are an upcoming reality
* Driverless vehicles are desirable and will dominate the market
And finally,
* The German auto industry is unprepared to deal with these facts
Honestly I completely disagree on all 4 points. Electric vehicles are and will remain very expensive and inconvenient for a while. Their post-subsidy prices make clear that they constitute tax-funded toys for the rich.
Autonomous/Driverless vehicles are also a novelty that we'll pay with a lot of blood. It's clear that we'll need at least 1-2 decades to reach a point where you can place reasonable trust to such a system for your daily commute.
As for the diesel problem, there is a chance that some environmentalist lobby will eventually cause diesel cars for personal use to be phased out, but right now it's more of a social media meme than anything. And just because German automakers cheat on their tests, it doesn't mean that everyone else does too.
And finally, be certain that those massive corporate giants take consumer trends very seriously, and they're already trailing just behind the bleeding edge on all those technologies. They just don't spend that much on PR because they don't need more capital.