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What do I know, I am not very good at this either and I respect the author's willingness to get other people's perspectives and attempt to reach a conclusion.
by spyckie2 9y ago
What do I know, I am not very good at this either and I respect the author's willingness to get other people's perspectives and attempt to reach a conclusion.
But I would like to critically consider the "indicative trends" mentality of the author. Entities with ML algorithms that could replace jobs enmasse do not yet exist, so past or current economic trends shouldn't indicate anything. ML algorithms did not gradually takeover Go, for instance - the transition to AI should neither be so gradual. Maybe if someone did micro-studies on Uber's effect on Taxi drivers, it would server as a proxy but even Uber isn't a self driving car company (yet).
That said, I really enjoyed reading about what is causing unemployment or the loss of jobs. It's an interesting observation that disabilities is rising as the reason for unemployment in the US. But again, attribution of these trends is always difficult.
Anyways, thanks to the author for doing the explorative work.
- lowbloodsugar 9y agoHe touches on the idea of humans having the past laid out before them, with the future to their backs. But then, as you say, fails to get to the realization that paying attention to the present isn't going to give us any predictions for how strong-AI, or even non-routine AI is going to change the job prospects for humans. Robots are expensive, but servers aren't.