3 ms·
It's not exponential, it's sigmoidal. Technological progress is slowing down and becoming more specialized. Most of what we have today we also had 25 years ago,
by sillysaurus3 9y ago
It's not exponential, it's sigmoidal. Technological progress is slowing down and becoming more specialized. Most of what we have today we also had 25 years ago, if you ignore electronics.
- MPSimmons 9y ago> if you ignore electronics. And materials science. And medical science. And probably several other things I'm not thinking of right now. The truth is that the electronics you mentioned are a force multiplier. It's like saying 4,000 years ago, we had everything we had in the immediate pre-renaissance. The math was the enabler that gave us the ability to exceed what we had. Electronics (and the things that go along with it, such as the software to run it) are what allow us to move vast swaths of other tech forward. We are still limited by physics, and we won't ever find ways to circumvent physics, but we'll find ways to not have to circumvent physics.
- deleted 9y ago[deleted]