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The 2 sets of numbers to decide if the article is accurate are: The rate of technology failures has fallen by more than 90 percent (from .64 to .06), unsafe dr
by mavhc 9y ago
The 2 sets of numbers to decide if the article is accurate are:
The rate of technology failures has fallen by more than 90 percent (from .64 to .06), unsafe driving rates decreased by 25 percent (from .16 to .12). The ability of cars to analyze situations on the road and respond has barely shown improvement since the beginning of 2016. In key categories, like “incorrect behavior prediction” and “unwanted maneuver of the vehicle,” Waymo vehicles actually did worse in 2017 than in 2016.
Waymo estimated “simulated contacts,” or the number of disengagements that would have likely led to crashes. Based on these data, last reported in 2015, Google/Waymo vehicles would’ve crashed .02 times per 1,000 miles driven without testers.
Department of Transportation data show that Americans get into around 6 million crashes a year and drive around 3 trillion miles each year, implying that Waymo vehicles are 4–5 times more dangerous than human drivers.
- kaoD 9y agoThanks for the summary. What does "crash" mean here? I'd say most human "crashes" are barely more than a scratch in the cars. How do autonomous vehicles fare in that sense?
- felippee 9y agoAn alternative view on the presented data can be found here: https://blog.piekniewski.info/2018/02/09/a-v-safety-2018-update/ https://blog.piekniewski.info/2018/02/09/a-v-safety-2018-upd... Including telling plots comparing various safety numbers, along with all the data sources.