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Muscles are infinitely less complex than the mind. We still don't understand how the human brain works, what makes us conscious, and many other aspects of cogni
by andrewjl 9y ago
Muscles are infinitely less complex than the mind. We still don't understand how the human brain works, what makes us conscious, and many other aspects of cognition. And we've been studying these for centuries.
It's unrealistic to think we can simulate something we don't understand. BTW the same rhetoric was being said in the 80's regarding expert systems, as what folks are saying today about deep learning. In the former case expectations exceeded the result, and we got a decade long "AI winter". Why should this time be any different?
IMO AI won't be capable of replacing humans for centuries, maybe millennia. I predict we'll progressively automate more and more routine activities via AI, freeing humans to focus on more creative / higher value activities while being more efficient. We got the same deal from the Industrial Revolution, which also brought us the vast levels of prosperity we enjoy today.
- chongli 9y agoThe difference is that the industrial revolution created tons of jobs that anyone could do. The AI revolution is going to leave only jobs that experts can do. Most people simple can't become experts. It's only going to take a few percentage points at the bottom of the income scale to create a crisis. Heck, we're already seeing that in countries like Greece and Spain. It's a cascade effect. If we don't solve the problems created by structural unemployment then we'll see our society collapse long, long before we see the very last job automated by AI.