Not sure about "will surpass". Possibly the inflection point already happened. https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/china-artificial-intellig

Not sure about "will surpass". Possibly the inflection point already happened. https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/china-artificial-intelligence/516615/ https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/china... > The 2017 AAAI meeting—which ultimately relocated to San Francisco—wrapped up just last week. And as expected, Chinese researchers had a strong showing in the historically U.S.-dominated conference. A nearly equal number of accepted papers came from researchers based in China and the U.S. “This is pretty surprising and impressive given how different it was even three, four years back,” says Rao.