> I remember that "election dial" showing 80% chance of Hillary on (I believe) the NYT website. Was that grounded in reality? Yes, it was. The implication that

> I remember that "election dial" showing 80% chance of Hillary on (I believe) the NYT website. Was that grounded in reality? Yes, it was. The implication that predictions were not grounded in reality because they didn't come to pass is false. An 80% chance of Hillary winning is a 20% chance of Trump winning. 20% is a big number. You wouldn't play Russian roulette, even though the probability that you die is less than that.