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> But logically, in order to hit peak child, every subgroup will also have to hit peak child. All it takes is one of those groups to keep expanding, and the wo
by grondilu 9y ago
> But logically, in order to hit peak child, every subgroup will also have to hit peak child. All it takes is one of those groups to keep expanding, and the world will not hit peak child
No, it just has to make less children than it did eighteen years before.
- burfog 9y agoYour condition of "make less children than it did eighteen years before" does not cause a permanent decline. That one subgroup keeps growing. Eventually, the population of that subgroup exceeds today's world population, and your condition is no longer met.
- grondilu 9y agoI must have misread you, because I thought you were writing "All it takes is one of those groups to keep having children". Well yeah, obviously as long as the population keeps growing [1] (and for that it is sufficient that a subgroup does indeed), there can not be a peak child. I was assuming that the article posited the existence of a population peak in the future, and was speculating about how many years would it be preceded by a child peak. 1. or rather, renew generations, since the population can grow without renewing generations.