Let me rephrase it for you: "You might think that {something} would cause {the outcome that fits my, and the audience's agenda/preconceptions}, but the data do

Let me rephrase it for you: "You might think that {something} would cause {the outcome that fits my, and the audience's agenda/preconceptions}, but the data doesn't show that. However, it's reasonable to ask if there's something going on, right? Also, feel free to quote the first sentence in clickbaity titles and social media posts! If you repeat it enough times, it will actually become truth :)"