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I would not have worried too much of a Dow correction, but I feel like a trifecta of events are coming together that is a bit concerning. First, is the explosio
by dmode 9y ago
I would not have worried too much of a Dow correction, but I feel like a trifecta of events are coming together that is a bit concerning. First, is the explosion of US government deficit which could potentially lead to austerity measures in the near future. Second is the threat of inflation and overheating. And third is the plunging savings rate of individuals. It almost appears that these three are moving to a confluence. Austerity + rise in interest rates + depleted savings could lead to a consumer spending crash in the near future.
- candiodari 9y agoWell, all of Europe has been suffering under austerity for something like 10 years now. My money is on that it will come to the US.
- refurb 9y agoPlunging saving rates? Saving rates jumped after the last crash. They are far higher in the US than countries like Canada, for example.
- dmode 9y agoUS savings rate actually dropped to a 12 yr low recently https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-savings-rate-falling-to-a-12-year-low-is-not-a-death-knell-for-the-us-economy-2018-01-29?mg=prod/accounts-mw https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-savings-rate-falli...
- refurb 9y agoThanks for sharing that. Considering the noise in that chart (savings rate drops from 11% to 5% in one month?!?), I would question whether it's really a trend and how accurate the data is. One of my pet peeves with economic data - some leading indicator plummets after being high for years. Mass panic in news headlines, only for it to return to normal the next month.