3 ms·
Considering that many countries have announced plans to fully eliminate gas and diesel engine production in less than 25 years (e.g. 2030 for China), I think it
by gisely 9y ago
Considering that many countries have announced plans to fully eliminate gas and diesel engine production in less than 25 years (e.g. 2030 for China), I think it's quite unlikely that internal combustion engines will continue to dominate the industry for the next 25 years. Also, there is pretty big irony in the analogy that you make. Obviously, Microsoft moved too slowly to focus on mobile computing and they missed the boat. I'm hopeful that car companies which aren't focusing on EVs today will similarly be left behind in a few years.
- lttlrck 9y agoThe huge used car market and the fact that ICE production will continue for as long as it is profitable muddies this timeline significantly. Sure ICEs could be legislated out of existence but that’d take a huge financial injection from the authorities - direct to the consumer and infrastructure. I don’t trust any authority to get this right in any sort of timely manner nor spend a the required money to make it happen.