I always considered causality less as a binary thing that was always 0 until $somethreshold was crossed, and more of a bayesian (or other) probability model. S

I always considered causality less as a binary thing that was always 0 until $somethreshold was crossed, and more of a bayesian (or other) probability model. Since in many cases we don't have the evidence for a deductive conclusion, we must often rely on inductive logic, even while still seeking the evidence until we can switch to deductive.