If you think my predictions are bad in general and this is just cherrypicked, one can always review my 2,000+ expired predictions since ~2008: https://predictio

If you think my predictions are bad in general and this is just cherrypicked, one can always review my 2,000+ expired predictions since ~2008: https://predictionbook.com/users/gwern https://predictionbook.com/users/gwern (I also have a profitable track record of personal & prediction market betting going back to ~2003.)