Interesting, he recommends the book: > The Black Swan - The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Achieve deep thinking and not arrive to simplistic explanation. W

Interesting, he recommends the book: > The Black Swan - The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Achieve deep thinking and not arrive to simplistic explanation. When I first read that in 2013 it spurred my interest, which eventually lead to my current company: https://projectpiglet.com/ https://projectpiglet.com/ The goal of which is to actually "identify" black swan events. The premise of a black swan is that you can't predict it, but I'd argue that quite often in a world of several billion people - someone has predicted it (typically those most in the know). Anyway, it's a good book and I've actually been using the system I built (https://projectpiglet.com/ https://projectpiglet.com/) recently to watch the decline in hype around cryptocurrencies. Which just goes to show, as the author notes - you can often be too early (or late) to the game and it makes all the difference.