6 ms·

I honestly cannot remember the last time a new technology hasn't significantly overshot ETAs

• pdx 9y ago
  Really? How about mapping the human genome?
• sundarurfriend 9y ago
  That's because with new developments that do get achieved in predicted timelines, the predictions don't get mention because it's only unsurprising ordinary news. Whereas with tantalizing but out of reach technologies, we get repeated "are we there yet" articles, and skepticism makes for more popular journalism. It's a combination of selection bias and the availability heuristic.