2 ms·

Oops my analysis was wrong -- there are two rape cases. Probability of two unrelated rape cases coming to light just at a time convenient for the US authoritie

• tome 16y ago
  The probabilities of a man committing each of two individual rapes are not independent. This is the worst statistical fallacy you can commit. Please see the following for further tragic details: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Meadow#Cot_death_trial_controversies http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Meadow#Cot_death_trial_cont...
  • cabalamat 16y ago
    > The probabilities of a man committing each of two individual rapes are not independent. Indeed not, and I never said they were. Indeed if a rapist rapes one woman, then he's more likely to do it again than a man who has never raped. My point was that it's less likely that a man will be accused of two unrelated rapes at the same time, than just be accused of one rape.