4 ms·
>Kurzweil suggests a (surprisingly low) bound on the complexity of this structure (which builds on complex proteins and should be seen as multiplicative of the
by sprout 16y ago
>Kurzweil suggests a (surprisingly low) bound on the complexity of this structure (which builds on complex proteins and should be seen as multiplicative of the former complexity).
I think this is where most everyone really is missing the power of exponential growth, to use Kurzweil's language.
The difference between "surprisingly low" and spot-on is +-5 years in Moore's law time. Really what it boils down to is how long Moore's law continues.
- ynniv 16y agoA (the?) key point of Kurzweil's work is to show that the exponential growth of technological leverage is independent of Moore's law. His prediction is that when Moore's law runs out (being tied to transistor density, it must), something else of the same shape will replace it. That is obviously yet to be proven, but there are some nice historical graphs at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerating_change http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerating_change.