4 ms·
The timescale point is fine, but it doesn't support the suggestion that RL will go beyond niche (which private road vehicles obviously do). The reason is that t
by jessriedel 9y ago
The timescale point is fine, but it doesn't support the suggestion that RL will go beyond niche (which private road vehicles obviously do). The reason is that the overwhelming limiting factor on launching more satellites is cost, not slow pace.
Do you know of projections for RL future market share? I conjecture less than 5% of total satellite launch market.
- jessriedel 9y agoFor comparison, SpaceX now as about half of the global satellite launch market. https://www.quora.com/What-is-SpaceXs-market-share https://www.quora.com/What-is-SpaceXs-market-share
- manicdee 9y agoI am speculating that RL will carve out a niche which is launches for satellites that need a regular cadence at a pace faster than SpaceX can afford. So for example rather than spending $50M launching 1 x $150M satellite to slowly gather outer atmospheric studies over a period of decades, launch 50 x $3M satellites with $1M launch costs to gather more data over a shorter period of time.