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Re: Dead Moore's law and entrepreneurial opportunities. It seems to me that the fact that Moore's law has ended may end up with a flip side that could potentia
by twtw 9y ago
Re: Dead Moore's law and entrepreneurial opportunities.
It seems to me that the fact that Moore's law has ended may end up with a flip side that could potentially be awesome. Previously, it nearly always made more sense to do something on a CPU and wait for performance to double than to develop a custom ASIC. With the free lunch deal over, I suspect that we will begin to see a ton more custom ASICs and architectural innovation. This has already begun for ML/DL/AI.
Without Moore's law, the semiconductor industry may get a lot more exciting. It might also just fade to commodity even more, but that isn't as fun to think about.
- madengr 9y agoMoore’s law is not necessarily dead with respect to analog integration, and III-V semiconductors. Much room for growth. Xilinx has some amazing RFSoC; FPGA fabric with integrated GHz DAC & ADC.
- sigstoat 9y agoi'm long on semiconductors for this reason. there's a lot more that can be done with them than grinding out increasing dense general purpose CPUs and DDR memory. we saw a tiny bit of it with the introduction of MEMS IMUs, and we'll see more yet. sooner or later we'll get low costs on small quantity ASICs, and things will go really nuts.
- deepnotderp 9y agoDing ding. I've always been of the opinion that the end of Moore's Law will result in a new wave of startup innovation. When the cost of newer nodes are a barrier to entry and the advantages of startups can be obviated by just moving to the next node (which the startup cannot do), then innovation stagnates. This is largely what killed many FPGA startups (e.g. Tabula, which btw had super cool tech).