3 ms·
I feel fortunate that I happened to check into HN today because this is an area where I have a lot of experience and I have made something similar (albeit much
by Herodotus38 9y ago
I feel fortunate that I happened to check into HN today because this is an area where I have a lot of experience and I have made something similar (albeit much less advanced) that is currently in use by some physicians.
Quick background: I am an internal medicine physician, and my focus is hospital medicine, so I actually see a lot of cancer patients suffering from complications related to progression of their disease, treatment, and have lots of end-of-life discussions.
A couple years ago I had a case where I wished I had more data to drive me to make a prediction for a family who wanted to know when their loved one was going to die, and I felt like I didn't do a good job. I ended up contacting an oncologist Dr. David Hui who has done a lot of research into predicting end of life care.
There are dozens if not hundreds of "prognostic calculators" out there that different groups have made over the years to try and find which variables X, Y, Z, can be used to better predict how a patient with cancer A, B or C will do.
Most of them are not great and very specific. Some of them are general to all cancers, some are only for "advanced cancer" etc... So this isn't really a new idea, it's just that this is the first time someone has applied AI to it as far as I'm aware.
The problem is these calculators are all buried in journals and have different inputs. What we did was collate some of the best validated ones and make it easier to check multiple prognostic calculators at once, with the idea that you could get more of a range or gestalt on the patient and use that info to help guide further decisions.
In case anyone is interested the site is www.predictsurvival.com but it isn't for lay use so may not be of much interest to most here. I built it using Python and Flask and it's what I'm most proud of in my programming.
Anyways, I knew someone would eventually use AI to try and tackle this question. I'll read their paper later tonight and I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up being far better than what I've done. I hope they make it open source.
I'd be happy to try and answer any questions people might have about medicine and end of life care