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Fingers crossed, but then again, all the conservatives I know detested Trump too, and yet here we are. If the field is fractured, a surprisingly small group of
by Lazare 9y ago
Fingers crossed, but then again, all the conservatives I know detested Trump too, and yet here we are.
If the field is fractured, a surprisingly small group of fans can push a highly disliked candidate to the top of the heap, and once that happens, the inexorable logic of the electoral system can make it difficult to reverse. (I'm thinking here of Trump, of course, but Clinton is almost as good an example.)
- cmurf 9y ago2018 Jan 1-7 87% of Republicans approve of Trump, 5% of Democrats approve, 32% of independents approve http://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx http://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-rat...
- aidenn0 9y agoTrump was polling at 3.6% among republicans as late as June 2015...
- deleted 9y ago[deleted]
- Lazare 9y agoRight, but the situation was very different prior to and during the primaries. Only once he became the nominee and (especially) president did Republican's start to come round. As, I'm sure, most of the Democrat's asking Oprah not to run would do so if she won the nomination. My point is, if popularity 2+ years before the election was any guide, then we would probably be talking about how weird it is to have a third President Bush right now (I still remember headlines from 2016 about "Bush surges to 2016 GOP frontrunner"). A year later and Jeb was an embarrassing fizzle.
- cmurf 9y agoThe point of my citation is to contrast with the anecdote about conservatives detesting Trump. Overwhelmingly Republicans (not necessarily conservatives) approve of what he's doing. It'll be vaguely interesting to see if these numbers weakend meaningfully after the most recent week's episodes of Celebrity Chaos Clown.