2 ms·
But the ability to short an asset more easily won’t necessarily overcome the power of investor excitement. In 1936, John Maynard Keynes suggested why. He playe
by bitoneill 9y ago
But the ability to short an asset more easily won’t necessarily overcome the power of investor excitement.
In 1936, John Maynard Keynes suggested why. He played down the role of quantitative analysis and probability estimates in human thinking of the assessment of ambiguous future events. People in such situations are vulnerable to a play of emotions and at times a “spontaneous urge to action” that he called “animal spirits.” He argued that much of what happens in financial markets has to do with people learning, from price movements, about each other’s animal spirits.
- themgt 9y agoExactly. Even if you think BTC is an absurd bubble for a non-viable technology, if you guesstimate the global animal spirits & meme hype has another year or two to boil over, shorting BTC now is just a way go bankrupt.
- Z1nfandel 9y ago"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." Recognizing a bubble and predicting the pop are two wildly different challenges.