The GFS was bad at tropical weather this year. Though I have to say, the GFS has been a little less crazy in long term forecasts on the US West Coast lately.

The GFS was bad at tropical weather this year. Though I have to say, the GFS has been a little less crazy in long term forecasts on the US West Coast lately. Not sure how much processing power will improve the tropical storm forecasts, though. I had the impression that had to do more with the model's physics. Though it would be nice to catch up with the ECMWF's data assimilation prowess, that would definitely help.